AI Verdictmedium confidence
Guadalajara Draw Toluca
Market read: Guadalajara favoured at 42% (implied by DraftKings's price).
Pick · Guadalajara 42%Source · espn
· Mexican Liga BBVA MX
The desk leansGuadalajara42%Estadio Akron
Beat the Desk
Make your call. Earn gold if it lands.Gold is in-game points — never cash. Information, not betting advice.
Match projection · the model’s read
GuadalajaraprojectedToluca
Most likely score1-1
Over/Under 1.5Over 1.5 · 76%
Both teams scoreYes · 56%
Projection from the model, not observed data — live shots, possession and xG fill in once the match kicks off.
Model predictions · 13 markets · build your own slip
Match Resultfair 2.38
Guadalajara
42%
Double Chancefair 1.35
Guadalajara or Toluca
74%
Draw No Betfair 1.76
Guadalajara
57%
Over/Under 1.5 Goalsfair 1.31
Over 1.5
76%
Over/Under 2.5 Goalsfair 1.91
Over 2.5
52%
Over/Under 3.5 Goalsfair 1.43
Under 3.5
70%
Both Teams To Scorefair 1.79
Yes
56%
Half Time / Full Timefair 4.04
Guadalajara / Guadalajara
25%
First Goalfair 2.00
Guadalajara score first
50%
Clean Sheetfair 3.65
Guadalajara clean sheet
27%
Win to Nilfair 4.73
Guadalajara win to nil
21%
Total Goalsfair 2.16
2-3 goals
46%
Correct Scorefair 8.35
1-1
12%xG 1.5–1.3
Lineups
Lineups confirmed closer to kick-off. The starting XI is published around 20-40 minutes before the match — it appears here as soon as it's official, never guessed.
Match statistics
Match statistics appear once the game is under way — shots, possession, corners, cards and more, straight from the live feed.
Injury & availability report · 1
Guadalajara
No reported absences
Toluca
- OutMexico’sMexico’s injury list is growing: Toluca star to miss 2026 World CupDiario AS
Intel · 4 signals
Team News1Injury1Pundit2
Pundit20h ago · 5 sources
Guadalajara Chivas - Toluca 0-2
Guadalajara vs Toluca: Liga MX stats & head-to-head · Guadalajara vs. Toluca Box Score and Stats - July 18, 2026 · FC Dallas Faces Querétaro FC, Club Deportivo Guadalajara and Toluca FC in 2026 Leagues Cup Phase One Matches
Flashscore.comGoal.comBBCESPNFOX Sports
Team News2d ago · 1 source
Deportivo Toluca - FC Dallas prediction & tips 13.08.2026
Deportivo Toluca - FC Dallas prediction & tips 13.08.2026 Transfermarkt
Transfermarkt
Pundit48d ago · 1 source
Guadalajara Heat: Unbeaten Giants Clash in World Cup Group H
Guadalajara Heat: Unbeaten Giants Clash in World Cup Group H Sofascore
Sofascore
Injury152d ago · 3 sources
Mexico’s injury list is growing: Toluca star to miss 2026 World Cup
Toluca confirms Marcel Ruiz injury and midfielder will miss the 2026 World Cup
Diario ASViva Liga MXGoal.com
Head to head
No recorded meetings between these sides yet.
Mexican Liga BBVA MX · table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | América | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 7 |
| 2 | Tijuana | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 6 |
| 4 | Pumas UNAM | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 6 |
| 5 | Monterrey | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 6 |
| 6 | Cruz Azul | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 6 |
| 7 | Querétaro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 8 | Necaxa | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Atlas | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 | Atlante | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Puebla | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Guadalajara | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 13 | Pachuca | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 3 |
| 14 | León | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 15 | Atlético de San Luis | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 2 |
| 16 | Tigres UANL | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 1 |
| 17 | Santos | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 0 |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 0 |
Guadalajara v Toluca · discussion
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