AI Verdictlow confidence
Derby County Draw Cardiff City
Model favours Derby County 37% — marginally stronger on Elo. Market line pending.
Pick · Derby County 37%Source · espn
· English League Championship
The desk leansDerby County37%Pride Park · Derby
Beat the Desk
Make your call. Earn gold if it lands.Gold is in-game points — never cash. Information, not betting advice.
Match projection · the model’s read
Derby CountyprojectedCardiff City
Most likely score1-1
Over/Under 1.5Over 1.5 · 75%
Both teams scoreYes · 55%
Projection from the model, not observed data — live shots, possession and xG fill in once the match kicks off.
Primary model reads
The three highest-probability market selections. Probability is not the same as value; compare it with a fresh market price.
Over/Under 1.5 Goalsfair 1.33
Over 1.5
75%
Over/Under 3.5 Goalsfair 1.40
Under 3.5
72%
Double Chancefair 1.41
Derby County or Draw
71%
View 10 additional model markets
Match Resultfair 2.70
Derby County
37%
Draw No Betfair 1.78
Derby County
56%
Over/Under 2.5 Goalsfair 1.98
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams To Scorefair 1.83
Yes
55%
Half Time / Full Timefair 4.17
Derby County / Derby County
24%
First Goalfair 2.04
Derby County score first
49%
Clean Sheetfair 3.58
Derby County clean sheet
28%
Win to Nilfair 4.72
Derby County win to nil
21%
Total Goalsfair 2.15
2-3 goals
47%
Correct Scorefair 8.17
1-1
12%xG 1.4–1.3
Lineups
Lineups confirmed closer to kick-off. The starting XI is published around 20-40 minutes before the match — it appears here as soon as it's official, never guessed.
Match statistics
Match statistics appear once the game is under way — shots, possession, corners, cards and more, straight from the live feed.
Injury & availability report
No injury or suspension intel for this fixture yet. Availability is derived from real, cited team news — never fabricated — and surfaces here as soon as the report is in.
Intel · 3 signals
Team News2Pundit1
Pundit18h ago · 3 sources
Cardiff City vs Derby County | August 22, 2026 | ENGCH Matchup
Derby County head coach John Eustace linked with Championship rivals as candidates earmarked for job · MATCH REPORT: Cardiff City 2-1 Derby County · REPORT: Derby County U21 1-4 Hull City U21
theScoreDerbyshire LiveDerby County
Team News23h ago · 2 sources
SIGNING: Alex Mowatt joins Derby County
Derby County in double blow as deja vu sparks 'obvious' transfer need
Derby CountyDerbyshire Live
Team News1d ago · 3 sources
Calum Scanlon signs new LFC contract and rejoins Cardiff City on loan
Cardiff City transfer diary: Scanlon latest, winger loan plan emerges and midfielder exits · This is now Cardiff City's best XI to face Wrexham amid lack of signings and injuries
Liverpool FCWales Onlineuk.sports.yahoo.com
Recent form · last 5
Derby County
LLLWL
Cardiff City
WLWWW
Head to head
No recorded meetings between these sides yet.
English League Championship · table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Queens Park Rangers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 2 | Millwall | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 3 | Swansea City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 4 | West Bromwich Albion | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 5 | Bolton Wanderers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 6 | Charlton Athletic | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 7 | Middlesbrough | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 8 | Watford | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 | Blackburn Rovers |
Derby County v Cardiff City · discussion
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