AI VerdictPre-match
UMBC Draw UNC Wilmington
Pick · Pick pendingSource · espn
· NCAA Men's Soccer
Retriever Soccer Park
Match projection · the model’s read
UMBCprojectedUNC Wilmington
Most likely score1-1
Over/Under 1.5Over 1.5 · 74%
Both teams scoreYes · 54%
Projection from the model, not observed data — live shots, possession and xG fill in once the match kicks off.
Primary model reads
The three highest-probability market selections. Probability is not the same as value; compare it with a fresh market price.
Over/Under 1.5 Goalsfair 1.35
Over 1.5
74%
Over/Under 3.5 Goalsfair 1.37
Under 3.5
73%
Double Chancefair 1.49
UMBC or Draw
67%
View 10 additional model markets
Match Resultfair 2.94
Draw
34%
Draw No Betfair 2.00
UMBC
50%
Over/Under 2.5 Goalsfair 1.96
Under 2.5
51%
Both Teams To Scorefair 1.86
Yes
54%
Half Time / Full Timefair 4.64
UNC Wilmington / UNC Wilmington
22%
First Goalfair 2.15
UMBC score first
46%
Clean Sheetfair 3.74
UMBC clean sheet
27%
Win to Nilfair 5.10
UMBC win to nil
20%
Total Goalsfair 2.14
2-3 goals
47%
Correct Scorefair 8.03
1-1
12%xG 1.3–1.3
Lineups
Lineups confirmed closer to kick-off. The starting XI is published around 20-40 minutes before the match — it appears here as soon as it's official, never guessed.
Match statistics
Match statistics appear once the game is under way — shots, possession, corners, cards and more, straight from the live feed.
Injury & availability report · 2
UMBC
- UnknownInsultInsult to injury: UMBC trolls Alabama after blowout loss to IU footballThe Daily Hoosier
UNC Wilmington
- OutKentuckyKentucky point guard D.J. Wagner misses UNC Wilmington game due to injuryLexington Herald Leader
Intel · 4 signals
Injury2Pundit2
Pundit7h ago · 5 sources
GAME TIME UPDATE: UMBC Hosts UNCW to Open 2026 Season at 1 PM Thursday
Men's Soccer Opens 2026 Season at UMBC · UMBC Retrievers vs. UNC Wilmington Seahawks - Live Score - August 20, 2026 · Men’s Basketball Falls to UMBC in the America East Championship
UMBC RetrieversUNC Wilmington AthleticsFOX SportsESPNUniversity of Vermont Athletics
Injury158d ago · 1 source
Insult to injury: UMBC trolls Alabama after blowout loss to IU football
Insult to injury: UMBC trolls Alabama after blowout loss to IU football The Daily Hoosier
The Daily Hoosier
Pundit162d ago · 1 source
UMBC Retrievers advance to America East Championship game on 11-game winning streak
UMBC Retrievers advance to America East Championship game on 11-game winning streak WMAR 2 News Baltimore
WMAR 2 News Baltimore
Injury990d ago · 1 source
Kentucky point guard D.J. Wagner misses UNC Wilmington game due to injury
Kentucky point guard D.J. Wagner misses UNC Wilmington game due to injury Lexington Herald Leader
Lexington Herald Leader
Head to head
No recorded meetings between these sides yet.
NCAA Men's Soccer · table
League table not available for this competition yet.
UMBC v UNC Wilmington · discussion
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